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Gür'ün tespitleri ise şöyle:</p> <p class="MsoNormal">"Bu seçimde ilk defa dört partinin birden barajı geçip meclise girme olasılığı olduğu için oranlardan daha çok milletvekili dağılımı önemli hale geldi. Yani AKP yüzde 45-48 civarında oy alsa dahi 2011 deki sandalye sayısını yakalayamaz. AKP 44’ün altına gerilediği takdirde tek başına bir iktidar modeli bile çıkmayabilir. Onun için de HDP’nin durumu ne olacak tartışması doğal. Garip olan 13 yıllık, yıpranan bir iktidar var. İnsanlar yaşamından, geçim derdinden yakınıyor ama HDP hariç diğer muhalefet partileri bundan yararlanamıyor. Bunun da temel nedeni muhalefete güven eksikliği sorunu. Yani muhalefet güven vermiyor. Seçmenin kafasında bu adamlar bu işi yapar diye bir algı oluşmuyor. O nedenle HDP, bu seçimde yüzde 13-14 oy alabilir. SHP’lileşebilirse, söylemi duruşuyla Türkiye partisi olabilirse de önümüzdeki seçimde ana muhalefet olur."</p> <p class="MsoNormal"><em>Yazının tamamı için </em><a href="http://www.milliyet.com.tr/sandiga-82-gun-kala-muhalefetin/siyaset/ydetay/2028748/default.htm" target="_blank"><strong><em>tıklayınız<br /> </em></strong></a><a href="http://www.milliyet.com.tr/sandiga-82-gun-kala-muhalefetin/siyaset/ydetay/2028748/default.htm" target="_blank"><strong><em><br /> </em></strong></a></p> <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:LatentStyles DefLockedState="false" DefUnhideWhenUsed="true" DefSemiHidden="true" DefQFormat="false" DefPriority="99" LatentStyleCount="267"> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="0" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Normal" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="9" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="heading 1" /> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="9" QFormat="true" Name="heading 2" /> <w:LsdException 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